So I said that I would do "very little" political blogging. So here's the first post of a political nature. It's Wednesday, January 2nd and it seems just about nobody knows what is going to happen in Iowa tomorrow. These aren't primaries, but are instead "caucuses," which makes things even less predictable. It seems that voters (caucusers?) can choose to shift their support from one candidate to another. So Barack Obama could possibly pick up the support of Bill Richardson and/or Joe Biden. Apparently Denis Kucinich has already told his supporters to make their second pick Obama.
While there seems to be lots of "Obamagic" going on - plenty of talking head types are advising not to count Hillary out because of her campaign's sophisticated operation. Edwards shouldn't be excluded yet either, because he has strong support in Iowa and has spent an enormous amount of time focusing on the state. If Edwards or Obama beat Clinton, that's a big story. A lot of people expect Obama to win New Hampshire - so if he has a strong second place showing in Iowa, he can still make tremendous gains next week.
On the republican side Huckabee has made dramatic gains, somehow becoming the front runner. But again, people say don't discount Romney because he has so much money and a well oiled machine ready to pounce tomorrow. Then there's John McCain - who has absolutely surged in New Hampshire to take the lead. McCain's campaign was all but over just a month ago - but the man never gave up and took to the old fashioned politics of town halls and face to face meetings. His movement in New Hampshire (which has its primary this coming Tuesday) could give him a surprisingly strong showing in Iowa.
If McCain has a good showing in Iowa and actually wins in NH - then that'll be the biggest story leading up to Super Tuesday (Feb. 5th, when 20 states hold their primaries at once). Everyone loves an underdog story. And frankly, with McCain having been the presumptive nominee at one point, if he can come back to win contests like this (from the jaws of defeat as it were) - maybe he should return to the top spot.
At this moment it seems we could be looking at Obama vs. McCain in the general election. Or maybe Clinton vs. Romney? Edwards vs. Huckabee? Remember when Fred Thompson was supposed to come in and save the Republican party? Boy, was that a disappointment. Maybe he'll be able to come back to Law and Order once the writers' strike ends.
Just to add to the fun - there's rumors that New York's Mayor Bloomberg might run a 3rd party candidacy. The guy has billions of dollars, so that could be interesting. For political junkies, this is like the NBA Playoffs, the World Series and The Superbowl all mixed together...and then dipped in porn covered rainbows.
While there seems to be lots of "Obamagic" going on - plenty of talking head types are advising not to count Hillary out because of her campaign's sophisticated operation. Edwards shouldn't be excluded yet either, because he has strong support in Iowa and has spent an enormous amount of time focusing on the state. If Edwards or Obama beat Clinton, that's a big story. A lot of people expect Obama to win New Hampshire - so if he has a strong second place showing in Iowa, he can still make tremendous gains next week.
On the republican side Huckabee has made dramatic gains, somehow becoming the front runner. But again, people say don't discount Romney because he has so much money and a well oiled machine ready to pounce tomorrow. Then there's John McCain - who has absolutely surged in New Hampshire to take the lead. McCain's campaign was all but over just a month ago - but the man never gave up and took to the old fashioned politics of town halls and face to face meetings. His movement in New Hampshire (which has its primary this coming Tuesday) could give him a surprisingly strong showing in Iowa.
If McCain has a good showing in Iowa and actually wins in NH - then that'll be the biggest story leading up to Super Tuesday (Feb. 5th, when 20 states hold their primaries at once). Everyone loves an underdog story. And frankly, with McCain having been the presumptive nominee at one point, if he can come back to win contests like this (from the jaws of defeat as it were) - maybe he should return to the top spot.
At this moment it seems we could be looking at Obama vs. McCain in the general election. Or maybe Clinton vs. Romney? Edwards vs. Huckabee? Remember when Fred Thompson was supposed to come in and save the Republican party? Boy, was that a disappointment. Maybe he'll be able to come back to Law and Order once the writers' strike ends.
Just to add to the fun - there's rumors that New York's Mayor Bloomberg might run a 3rd party candidacy. The guy has billions of dollars, so that could be interesting. For political junkies, this is like the NBA Playoffs, the World Series and The Superbowl all mixed together...and then dipped in porn covered rainbows.
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